How the 'painful' Budget might damage your finances?

What does Rachel Reeves’ first budget have in store for your finances, and what action should you take now to protect against the possible changes?

When Keir Starmer stood in the garden of Downing Street on 27 August, he spoke of ‘Fixing the Foundations’ of the country and of a ‘£22 billion black hole in public finances’.  This has led commentators to conclude that if tax rises weren’t planned in Rachel Reeves’ first budget on 30 October before, they certainly will be now.

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When Labour ran for election, they ruled out raising taxes on ‘working people’ and specifically pledged not to increase Income Tax, National Insurance, VAT or Corporation Tax.  This potentially limits the taxes they can look at (though we would expect Income Tax thresholds to remain frozen until 2028 as announced by the previous government) and we have summarised our views on these various taxes below:

Pensions

Though this would technically be a change to income tax, one possibility for the Government would be to reduce tax relief on pension contributions for high earners.  We already have the pensions’ ‘annual allowance’; which limits pension contributions for very high earners, but there is currently the opportunity for those paying higher rates of income tax, but with overall income below the threshold required to have a tapered ‘annual allowance’, to benefit from significant tax relief and the Government could look to limit this.

Another potential change to pensions is reviewing their beneficial tax treatment upon death, where they fall outside the individual’s estate for inheritance tax purposes and can be passed to future generations at attractive rates of tax.  Though taking action in the anticipation of potential future legislation changes would be inadvisable, if changes to pension death benefits are announced in the budget, financial plans will need to be reassessed.

Finally, the 25% tax free lump sum available from pensions has been talked about as an ‘at risk’ benefit for years, but it would certainly be viewed as unfair if this was targeted now, given that people have been saving towards retirement expecting to benefit from this.  Additionally, changes to the ‘Lump Sum Allowance’ have only just come into force in the current tax year and the Government has already said it will not be reintroducing the Pensions’ Lifetime Allowance, so they may be reluctant to tamper with this area further.

Capital Gains Tax (CGT)

With capital gains above the £3,000 annual exemption taxed at just 10% for basic rate tax payers and 20% for higher rate tax payers (higher rates apply for second property sales), there are rumours that the Government will review CGT rates. 

However, HMRC’s own projections indicate equalising capital gains tax and income tax rates could actually reduce the Government’s overall tax take, given this would discourage individuals from selling assets (and crystallising gains) so they may instead decide to retain them.

Additionally, it should be noted that cost prices for capital gains tax purposes are currently rebased on death (meaning gains essentially die with the individual) and if this was changed, financial plans would need to be revisited.

Inheritance Tax (IHT)

With the UK inheritance tax rate currently 40%, it is somewhat surprising that the tax only raises c. £7bn p.a. (of a total tax take of c. £1trillion in 23/24).  The reasons for this are the various reliefs available, including:

The ability to gift unlimited amounts to individuals with, broadly speaking, no tax consequences if the donor lives seven years following the gift).

The ability for couples to pass up to £1m between them tax free to direct descendants upon death.  

The Government could look to limit some of these reliefs and with £1 trillion of wealth expected to change hands in the UK in the 2020s alone, according to the Financial Times, the Government could see this as an area to focus on.

What can you do to protect your wealth?

We of course do not know what changes will be announced on 30 October and, crucially, from when they will apply. This means there may or may not be time to take action following the budget, and while we would discourage taking action on the basis of rumours, there are actions that can be taken before the budget to take advantage of reliefs that are available now but could be at risk post 30 October.  

To speak to an Independent Financial Adviser about any actions you could consider ahead of the budget, please contact us for a free initial consultation.  

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The details in this article are for information only and do not constitute individual advice.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate estate planning, tax or trust advice.

The information contained within this article is based on our understanding of legislation, whether proposed or in force, and market practice at the time of writing. Levels, bases and reliefs from taxation may be subject to change.

The value of your investments can go down as well as up, so you could get back less than you invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

A pension is a long-term investment not normally accessible until age 55 (57 from April 2028 unless the plan has a protected pension age). The value of your investments (and any income from them) can go down as well as up which would have an impact on the level of pension benefits available.  Your pension income could also be affected by the interest rates at the time you take your benefits.